The metropolis and electoral life: Neighborhoods in capital cities and the 2014 presidential elections

Abstract

This essay constitutes an enquiry on the relationship between demography and vote in the 2014 Brazilian presidential elections, using, as analytical units, the neighborhoods of three state capitals: Belém, Recife, and São Paulo. The demographic and electoral data analysis employed different research techniques, such as thematic cartography, exploratory data analysis and multivariate analysis. The results unveiled a coherent and statistically significant linkage, at the neighborhood level, between demographic structure and voting patterns in the three main presidential candidates: Aécio Neves, Dilma Rousseff, and Marina Silva.